Nationally, Democrats are voting in droves ahead of the election, making up more than half the ballots cast so far in states with party data available, and Republicans making up about one-quarter of the votes so far.
That detailed information, analyzed by Catalist, a company that provides data, analytics and other services to Democrats, academics and nonprofit issue-advocacy organizations, is giving new insights into who is voting before November. Catalist analyzed almost 4.5 million ballots cast in 27 states so far.
This data does not predict the outcome of any race, as polling shows Republicans strongly prefer voting in person on Election Day rather than early. The information contains insights and details about who is voting ahead of November 3. While the returns represent a small fraction of the expected number of ballots to be cast in 2020 — Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton received about 130 million votes combined four years ago — some states have reported that the numbers of ballot requests and returns have already set records.
Despite the surge in preelection voting this year, the gender breakdown remains similar to this point in 2016: 55% of the ballots cast so far are from women and 45% are from men. Among CNN’s key states, Wisconsin, at 57%, has the largest share of ballots returned by women.
Most of CNN’s key states are seeing gender breakdowns among ballots cast similar to those of this point four years ago, but there are exceptions. At this point in 2016, roughly 61% of Georgia’s ballots cast had come from women, but so far this year, it’s only 56%.
State snapshot: Florida
Currently, Hispanic voters make up about 9% of voters who have cast their ballots so far, compared with about 6% at this point in the cycle four years ago.
Black voters have also increased their share of the early vote in the state, composing about 11% of those who have cast ballots so far, compared with 7% at this point in 2016.
Women have cast about 54% of the ballots so far in the state, about the same as at this point four years ago.
State snapshot: North Carolina
White voters’ share of ballots already cast has decreased from 86% at this point in 2016 to about 77% this year. The shares of ballots from Hispanic and Asian voters remain at roughly 2016 levels.